Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Billboard Hot 100 Update - Week of September 8th

It's Wednesday and that means it's time for a new Billboard Hot 100 chart. However, looking at the top 3, it would barely appear there is any difference. Yes, the top three spots from last week are exactly the same as they were last week. That means that after a first ever peak at #1, Taylor Swift is enjoying a second week atop the Billboard Hot 100. We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together hits the summit for a second week, despite digital sales that were cut in half from last week. With record setting sales last week, it was no surprise that Swift's song would face a big drop this week. Luckily, the song's career at radio is just starting as it makes a 30% jump and a #14-#13 hop on the Radio Songs chart. Interestingly enough, while the song made improvements at pop radio, it actually fell on the Country Songs chart, probably due to the fact that the song is not really country...at all. Since its debut over two weeks ago, the song has topped the iTunes charts and is still garnering impressive radio airplay, so it's possible the song could stay on top for a little while longer. Of course, major threats stand in Taylor's way. After becoming only the second #1 song this year to spend only one week atop the Billboard Hot 100, Whistle seems to be stuck at #2 due to Getting Back Together's success. Even though the song climbed #8-#5 on Radio Songs, it fell #2-#3 on Digital Songs, and quite frankly, it just can't match the performance of Swift's song. Still, there is some reason for Flo Rida to be excited this week: his song passed the 2 million mark in sales this week. Poor Ellie Goulding's chances at an American #1 look further out of reach as Lights also retains it's position from last week's chart, at #3. As sales begin to fall and airplay has seemingly reached a peak, it looks like Ellie's next album holds her next best chance for a #1 American song.
Still, there is much to laud about this week's chart. After making a Hot 100 Top 10 debut at #9 last week, Maroon 5's latest, One More Night, zoomed up to #4 after jumping #4-#2 on Digital Songs and #25-#16 on Radio Songs. It's certainly looking like this song has the best chance of becoming the next #1 on the chart after Swift finishes her stay. Maybe. If not, bet that it will be fun.'s Some Nights that takes the peak position next. After a #6 finish last week, the band's second single is now a Top 5 hit, following a #19-#14 jump on Radio Songs, and despite a #3-#4 fall on Digital Songs (the song was back and forth with Flo Rida's Whistle all last week, but has stabilized and is now outselling the rapper. Following sales decreases and a drop at radio, Carly Rae Jepsen's Call Me Maybe slides further down the Hot 100 from #4-#6, but she shouldn't be too sad (more on that later). Also falling two spots is Katy Perry's Wide Awake which, after decreases in sales and airplay, now stands at #7. Maroon 5's other hit song, Payphone, slides only one spot from last week to #8. Interestingly enough, One More Night looks like it has a better chance of hitting #1 than Payphone did, which I'm sure many did not see coming.
Jepsen makes a second Top 10 appearance as her duet with Owl City, Good Time, hits #9 this week. After a #13 finish last week, Jepsen and Owl City singer Adam Young were benefitted this week by TV exposure for their song, following performances on America's Got Talent and The Tonight Show with Jay Leno. The song jumps #8-#5 on Digital Songs and #17-#15 on Radio Songs. Could the song climb even higher? It's hard to say. But the #9 peak still set marks for the duo. For Jepsen, the one-two punch of Call Me Maybe and Good Time makes her the first solo woman artist to send her first two efforts into the top 10 since Ke$ha in 2009-2010. If featured artists are included, Sia also joins that list after she led the chorus to two of this year's catchiest hits, Flo Rida's Wild Ones and David Guetta's Titanium. For Owl City, Good Time marks his second appearance in the Top 10 after he sent his debut single Fireflies to #1 in November of 2009. Finally, sliding #8-#10, Jepsen's mentor Justin Bieber and his latest, As Long As You Love Me, took a hit on the charts this week. After a slip in sales (a 9% decrease, but no slip in rankings, where he matches last week's #6 mark), the song only leaped one spot from #18-#17 on Radio Songs. Could the song recover? It certainly looks to be in the next class of hits as the fall is now creeping upon us. Looking at the chart, it is interesting to discern the "old" hits from the "new" hits. In the coming weeks, We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together, One More Night, Some Nights, Good Time, and As Long As You Love Me should be among the chart's most successful songs, while titles like Whistle, Lights, Wide Awake, Payphone and (yes, believe it or not!) Call Me Maybe will be on their way down the charts. As the fall approaches, it should be interesting to see what crop of songs will take to the top spot. Maybe they'll appear further down the chart!
Neon Trees' Everybody Talks, lately experiencing a late rush up the charts, hits a new high at #11, up three spots from last week. After increases at radio and sales, the song has been enjoying success after being released in the dead of winter in 2011. With increasing sales and airplay this week, the song could enjoy a Top 10 finish next week. A song whose time is seemingly done in the Top 10 is the #12 song, Blow Me (One Last Kiss) from Pink. Unfortunately, while early buzz launched the song to a #9 peak, the song never climbed much higher and is seemingly stuck. Perhaps it is time for a new single, Pink? No worries, her new album hits stores September 18th. Falling out of the Top 10, David Guetta and Sia's first collaboration Titanium slides three spots from #10-#13, but fret not: Guetta recently announced his intentions to rerelease his year-old album Nothing But the Beat, and just released the first single from the rerelease, another collab with summer 2012 feature lady Sia, titled She Wolf (Falling to Pieces). The song is, expectedly, catchy as hell, and it could see success come this fall. Gotye's blockbuster number one Somebody That I Used to Know slipped three spots as well, from #11-#14. Surprisingly, Rihanna was able to maintain her steady decline from last week as she logs a second week at #15. However, don't expect a resurgence, unless Ri performs the song at the VMAs next week, but at this point, the song is kind of old news.
Also steady with last week is Cher Lloyd and her debut US single Want U Back. Although the song fell on Radio Songs, she actually increased on Digital Songs. After two weeks of drops, a sustain is good news right now, and after a performance on the Today show today on NBC, she could see a bump next week. Speaking of bumps, Demi Lovato rebounds one spot from last week #18-#17 as she hits a new high on Radio Songs. The bumps continue with Alex Clare's breakout hit Too Close which hits a new peak at #18, up two spots from last week. The song's digital sales are hotter than ever, and if he can gain some more support at radio, he could easily climb higher up this chart. Kanye West and Co. stay steady from last week with Mercy, even after a fall on Radio Songs. Rounding out the Top 20, Nicki Minaj's latest single Pound the Alarm reaches a new high after a week of steady sales and increased radio airplay. Expect the song to hit new highs throughout the month, as a trip to the Top 10 seems pretty likely at this point.
Elsewhere on the charts, two country songs hit new highs as Little Big Town's addictive hit Pontoon and Hunter Hayes' Wanted climb #22-#23 and #29-#26, respectively. Don't Wake Me Up, Chris Brown's newest single, continues to leap to the top as it makes a huge jump from #41-#29 this week after improved digital sales. If the song can get some radio airplay, it could be a big hit, but, after all, this is Chris Brown, and the mention of his name brings about serious debate. Taking a small misstep, Carrie Underwood's Blown Away falls one spot from #30-#31, after a tiny fall in sales. With the singer's fall tour about to start, it's certainly possible she could recover and hopefully so since the song is probably one of her best ever. Train's newest single, 50 Ways to Say Goodbye, hit a new high, up 18 spots from #52-#34 after a huge leap in sales this week. Still, the song doesn't have much success at radio yet, but Train songs normally take some time to get to the top at radio (although I'll point out that their newest is my personal favorite of theirs, better than Hey, Soul Sister and Drive By). Speaking of Drive By, it ranks just below 50 Ways at #35, actually increasing four spots. Aided by commercial placement, The Lumineers' Ho Hey reaches a new high at #42, up six spots from last week. It'll be interesting to see if the song can follow in the success of other alternative hits from this year. Still, it's fair to say that there is a long list of songs that can prove that this was definitely the year for alternative music. Another alt song gaining traction is Little Talks from Of Monsters and Men, as it climbs one spot from #50-#49. One song that isn't finding success is Dark Side, Kelly Clarkson's latest. After weeks of increases, two missteps have led to this week's crucial five slot fall from #45-#50. Kelly, you might wanna get that next single ready!
No Doubt's comeback single Settle Down continues to, well, not settle down in the top, as it falls three spots from #58-#61. Looks like the band sees the problem, though: today, they released the next single, Push and Shove. After a strong debut at #23, huge falls have followed Mumford and Sons' newest single, I Will Wait, which drops a huge 29 spots from #37-#66. Of course, the band has never really been radio-friendly, so it's more about album sales. Imagine Dragons' first single It's Time jumped two spots from #69-#67 after placement in commercials for The Perks of Being a Wallflower. British sensation Ed Sheeran also slides up two more spots, from #75-#73, with his first US single, The A Team. Ne-Yo, who hasn't really had a hit single since Miss Independent hit #7 in fall 2008, is looking to make a comeback with Let Me Love You, which jumps #88-#74 this week (not surprisingly, the song was co-written by one of summer 2012's biggest underdogs, Sia). Also jumping this week is David Guetta's final single from Nothing But the Beat (not the re-release), I Can Only Imagine, with Chris Brown and Lil Wayne. The song bounces #90-#75. This week's biggest debut comes from rock-alternative band Muse, whose first single, Madness, from their new album hit the charts at #84 in its first week. Three spots down, The Script's newest, Hall of Fame, also debuted this week. That's all for this week, but check back next week to see where your favorite songs land!

Evan

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