Tuesday, June 10, 2014

"State of the Race" (Emmys): June 10th

It's time for this week's installment of "State of the Race," but with minimal movement this week, I'll only be highlighting the categories where there are changes.

Best Drama Series
1. Breaking Bad (=)
2. True Detective (=)
3. Game of Thrones (=)
4. House of Cards (=)
5. The Good Wife (=)
6. Mad Men (=)
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7. Masters of Sex (=)
8. Homeland (=)
9. The Americans (=)
10. Downton Abbey (=)

Best Comedy Series
1. Modern Family (=)
2. Veep (=)
3. The Big Bang Theory (=)
4. Orange Is the New Black (=)
5. Louie (=)
6. Brooklyn Nine-Nine (=)
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7. Girls (=)
8. Silicon Valley (+1)
9. Parks and Recreation (-1)
10. Shameless (=)

A small bump for Silicon Valley, since I think it will be easier for a new show to break into the race versus a veteran whose time has already been served like Parks and Recreation. Silicon Valley's finale brought some buzz, but most likely too little too late. This race is down to the top seven contenders.

Best Drama Actor
1. Bryan Cranston - Breaking Bad (=)
2. Matthew McConaughey - True Detective (=)
3. Kevin Spacey – House of Cards (=)
4. Jon Hamm - Mad Men (=)
5. James Spader - The Blacklist (=)
6. Woody Harrelson - True Detective (=)
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7. Michael Sheen - Masters of Sex (=)
8. Matthew Rhys – The Americans (=)
9. Jeff Daniels - The Newsroom (=)
10. Damian Lewis – Homeland (=)

Best Drama Actress
1. Robin Wright - House of Cards (=)
2. Julianna Margulies - The Good Wife (+1)
3. Claire Danes – Homeland (-1)
4. Kerry Washington – Scandal (=)
5. Tatiana Maslany – Orphan Black (=)
6. Elisabeth Moss – Mad Men (=)
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7. Lizzy Caplan - Masters of Sex (=)
8. Vera Farmiga – Bates Motel (=)
9. Keri Russell - The Americans (=)
10. Michelle Dockery - Downton Abbey (=)

Support for Homeland is going to suffer this year, but Margulies' show is hitting the mark, so I think she's in a better position than most are expecting. A redo of that snub from last year would truly be shocking.

Best Comedy Actor
1. Jim Parsons - The Big Bang Theory (=)
2. Louis CK – Louie (=)
3. Andy Samberg - Brooklyn Nine-Nine (=)
4. Don Cheadle - House of Lies (=)
5. Johnny Galecki – The Big Bang Theory (=)
6. Matt LeBlanc – Episodes (=)
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7. Robin Williams - The Crazy Ones (=)
8. William H. Macy – Shameless (+1)
9. Thomas Middleditch – Silicon Valley (-1)
10. Chris Messina – The Mindy Project (NEW)
FALLING OUT: Michael J. Fox - The Michael J. Fox Show

William H. Macy's deserving performance climbs up a notch, while Thomas Middleditch slides down. Since they're both technically newcomers to the category, I think Macy's performance is louder, showier, and he's the veteran -- all of these things will give him an advantage. I've taken Michael J. Fox out of the top ten because, really, did he have any shot at a nomination? I've put in The Mindy Project's Chris Messina, whose Critics Choice nomination helped his buzz increase.

Best Comedy Actress
1. Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Veep (=)
2. Amy Poehler - Parks and Recreation (=)
3. Lena Dunham – Girls (=)
4. Taylor Schilling - Orange Is The New Black (=)
5. Edie Falco - Nurse Jackie (=)
6. Anna Faris – Mom (=)
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7. Mindy Kaling – The Mindy Project (=)
8. Emmy Rossum – Shameless (=)
9. Melissa McCarthy - Mike and Molly (=)
10. Zooey Deschanel – New Girl (=)

Best Drama Supporting Actor
1. Peter Dinklage - Game of Thrones (=)
2. Aaron Paul – Breaking Bad (=)
3. Dean Norris – Breaking Bad (=)
4. Josh Charles – The Good Wife (=)
5. Mandy Patinkin – Homeland (=)
6. Jon Voight – Ray Donovan (=)
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7. Charles Dance – Game of Thrones (+1)
8. Jeff Perry – Scandal (-1)
9. Jeffrey Wright - Boardwalk Empire (=)
10. Jim Carter - Downton Abbey (=)

As Game of Thrones wraps up its excellent season, Charles Dance inches closer toward the top tier. This is such a weird year for the category and I think Voight and Patinkin could easily miss out, with Dance being the likeliest option as of now to replace one of them. Next week's finale looks promising, and if it delivers any buzz for Dance, he could end up in the top tier.

Best Drama Supporting Actress
1. Anna Gunn - Breaking Bad (=)
2. Christine Baranski - The Good Wife (=)
3. Maggie Smith - Downton Abbey (=)
4. Emilia Clarke - Game of Thrones (=)
5. Christina Hendricks - Mad Men (=)
6. Michelle Monahan - True Detective (=)
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7.  Bellamy Young – Scandal (=)
8. Monica Potter – Parenthood (=)
9. Lena Headey - Game of Thrones (=)
10. Archie Panjabi - The Good Wife (=)

Best Comedy Supporting Actor
1. Ty Burrell - Modern Family (=)
2. Tony Hale – Veep (=)
3. Jesse Tyler Ferguson - Modern Family (=)
4. Eric Stonestreet – Modern Family (=)
5. Andre Braugher - Brooklyn Nine-Nine (=)
6. Adam Driver – Girls (=)
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7. Ed O'Neill - Modern Family (=)
8. Timothy Simons – Veep (=)
9. Simon Helberg – The Big Bang Theory (=)
10. Reid Scott – Veep (NEW)

Putting Reid Scott in the top ten now because Pablo Schrieber of Orange Is the New Black, who previously held the #10 slot, is now submitting to Guest Actor in a Comedy Series.

Best Comedy Supporting Actress
1. Allison Janney – Mom (=)
2. Mayim Bialik - The Big Bang Theory (=)
3. Julie Bowen – Modern Family (=)
4. Sofia Vergara - Modern Family (=)
5. Anna Chlumsky – Veep (=)
6. Kate Mulgrew - Orange Is The New Black (=)
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7. Merritt Wever - Nurse Jackie (=)
8. Haley Cuoco-Sweeting - The Big Bang Theory (=)
9. Jane Lynch – Glee (=)

10. Chelsea Peretti - Brooklyn Nine-Nine (=)

Due to the lack of change in this week's survey, I may not update next week if there are, once again, no changes, but check back next Monday to see if that sticks.

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